Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder, HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Global carbon dioxide emissions reached a record high in 2022 Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. Extended Winter Forecast for 2022-2023 - Farmers' Almanac La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. First 2022 Seasonal LONG RANGE Winter Forecasts from NOAA Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. We say absolutely! Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The weather in Arizona in January is good. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. Here was the tweet the office issued. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Farmers' Almanac predicting extreme winter forecast for most of US Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Toggle navigation. . Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. AccuWeather's winter forecast. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. Please try another search. Could La Nia bring another dry AZ winter, worsening drought? - KNXV Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter 3. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. 'A nice sign': Big Rockies snowpack may boost Lake Mead CLIMAS Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. National Weather Service April climate data across southeast Arizona. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Climate & Weather Averages in Arizona, Arizona, USA - Time and Date The Farmer's Almanac Winter 2022-2023 Forecast Is Here Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. Questions? Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration More snow? Here's Michigan's winter 2022-2023 outlook Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. It's not . Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. Please try another search. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Love Arizona? Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Flagstaff and Northern Arizona Weather Forecast | naztoday.com Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. The periodical says it. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. July climate data across southeast Arizona. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Some of our favorite, Youve Gotta See These 8 Spectacular Neighborhood Christmas Light Displays In Arizona, Even The Grinch Would Marvel At The Tlaquepaque Christmas Light Display In Arizona, With Over 35,000 Lights, Cox Family Lights Is One Of The Best Neighborhood Christmas Light Displays In Arizona, 4 Drive-Thru Christmas Lights Displays In Arizona The Whole Family Can Enjoy, 9 Easy Hikes You Can Enjoy In Arizona This Winter, Take An Enchanting Winter Walk Through Dozens Of Glowing Sculptures At The Desert Botanical Garden In Arizona, The 45-Minute Sleigh Ride At Snowy Mountain Stables In Arizona Takes You Through A Winter Wonderland, Tackle A Snow Tubing Hill At Sunrise Park Resort In Arizona This Year, Miyuki Miller / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Warren Faidley / The Image Bank Collection / Getty Images, Andrei Stoica / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Cathy Grieve / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Md Esharuzzaman Emu / iStock / Getty Images Plus Collection / Getty Images, James Randklev / Corbis Documentary Collection / Getty Images. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. Phoenix, AZ Monthly Weather Forecast - weather.com - The Weather Channel The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather Aspiring Emergency Managers Online - Company Page on LinkedIn: Arizona These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. In a couple of words: its nice! With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. Mostly cloudy. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season - NBC New York Equal chances use the map provided below. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Search. Then it smashed that record. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022.